The inside story, told with “insight, perspective, and stellar reporting,” of how an unassuming civil servant created trillions of dollars from thin air, combatted a public health crisis, and saved the American economy from a second Great Depression (Alan S. Blinder, former Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve).
By February 2020, the U.S. economic expansion had become the longest on record. Unemployment was plumbing half-century lows. Stock markets soared to new highs. One month later, the public health battle against a deadly virus had pushed the economy into the equivalent of a medically induced coma. America’s workplaces—offices, shops, malls, and factories—shuttered. Many of the nation’s largest employers and tens of thousands of small businesses faced ruin. Over 22 million American jobs were lost. The extreme uncertainty led to some of the largest daily drops ever in the stock market.
Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal’s chief economics correspondent, draws on extensive interviews to detail the tense meetings, late night phone calls, and crucial video conferences behind the largest, swiftest U.S. economic policy response since World War II. Trillion Dollar Triage goes inside the Federal Reserve, one of the country’s most important and least understood institutions, to chronicle how its plainspoken chairman, Jay Powell, unleashed an unprecedented monetary barrage to keep the economy on life support. With the bleeding stemmed, the Fed faced a new challenge: How to nurture a recovery without unleashing an inflation-fueling, bubble-blowing money bomb?
Trillion Dollar Triage is the definitive, gripping history of a creative and unprecedented battle to shield the American economy from the twin threats of a public health disaster and economic crisis. Economic theory and policy will never be the same.
1 有用 Mr. L 2023-04-21 21:15:26 美国
比较客观的叙事。联储的三套组合拳,SBA/小企业债务豁免(只需要一定时间内80%的借款花在员工身上),中型企业借款项目,和大企业债券背书分别针对市场的三个组分,其中中型执行不到位。眼下回头看似荒谬的错误,是因为有太多的反面的“前车之鉴”,比如09年和11年欧洲因为担心油价上涨造成通胀而不够坚定地执行宽松政策,印证了1873年巴杰特在九曲花街中所说的“大量借款却不给公众足够信心是所有政策中最糟的”,... 比较客观的叙事。联储的三套组合拳,SBA/小企业债务豁免(只需要一定时间内80%的借款花在员工身上),中型企业借款项目,和大企业债券背书分别针对市场的三个组分,其中中型执行不到位。眼下回头看似荒谬的错误,是因为有太多的反面的“前车之鉴”,比如09年和11年欧洲因为担心油价上涨造成通胀而不够坚定地执行宽松政策,印证了1873年巴杰特在九曲花街中所说的“大量借款却不给公众足够信心是所有政策中最糟的”,叠加过去十年央行一直无法刺激通胀,这一切共同导致了灵活平均通胀定标(FAIT)政策的出现,因为太久的低失业+低通胀让这种现象变成了央行的顾虑(2019年初选择暂定加息也是这个原因,而下半年的降息是针对毛衣战和投资的下滑),而顾虑之下坚定推向另一边的政策+沟通约束造成了眼下的高通胀局面。 (展开)
0 有用 . 2023-08-02 14:46:06 美国
表明了老巴对小鲍的态度
0 有用 e.d.i.t.h_Q 2023-01-22 16:27:10 中国香港
尼克怕不是小鲍的脑残粉
3 有用 oreo 2022-05-05 23:35:42
总觉得像在看剧本。不过有几点对于理解政策制定和政策结果颇有帮助: (1)美联储财政部很难保持“独立”,尤其是美国这样的政治制度下更是如此。 (2)指责的人总是比干事的人多;任何决定,都有人不满。 (3)经济指标常常失灵,因为有很多时候,“人”的主观反映会影响结果,但人的行为是无法预测的。 (4)即便是美联储和财政部,也是摸着石头过河。 可见,每一个决定本身存在很多限制,不能苛求一定奏效。但务必是独... 总觉得像在看剧本。不过有几点对于理解政策制定和政策结果颇有帮助: (1)美联储财政部很难保持“独立”,尤其是美国这样的政治制度下更是如此。 (2)指责的人总是比干事的人多;任何决定,都有人不满。 (3)经济指标常常失灵,因为有很多时候,“人”的主观反映会影响结果,但人的行为是无法预测的。 (4)即便是美联储和财政部,也是摸着石头过河。 可见,每一个决定本身存在很多限制,不能苛求一定奏效。但务必是独立思考的结果。所以鲍威尔说“I’d rather go in the books as a terrible Fed chair than as somebody who knuckled under”(我宁愿作为一个糟糕的美联储主席出现在书中,而不是一个屈服的人)。 (展开)
0 有用 funcFailer 2025-05-05 16:16:57 中国香港
当时疫情在美国刚入职的我对市场上发生了什么完全没有任何概念,现在才了解到将美国从危机边缘拉回来的人们做了多大努力 以及老鲍从律师转行做金融做的如此成功真的牛批